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Autumn Budget 2025: Chancellor faces high-stakes Budget balancing act

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As Rachel Reeves’ Budget approaches, speculation is reaching fever pitch, with businesses, households, and investors alike bracing for potential tax changes, spending announcements, and economic measures that could affect almost every corner of the UK economy.

The Chancellor faces a delicate balancing act: delivering on manifesto promises while raising billions of pounds to support a fragile economy still recovering from recent shocks, including inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and increased public spending demands.

James Geary, Partner and Head of Corporate Tax at Randall & Payne, told Stroud Times: “For the second year running we expect some significant tax raising announcements in tomorrow’s Budget, but I can never remember seeing quite such a vast array of rumours, predictions, announcements and changes of mind in the month before a Budget event.

“The Chancellor has a very delicate balancing act to perform between keeping manifesto promises on the one hand, yet finding other ways to raise billions of pounds for a fragile economy on the other. It seems no tax is safe from changes. As ever there will be both winners and losers, but I fear more losers than winners this time.”

Historically, the Budget is a chance for the government to outline its priorities for taxation, spending, and economic growth. Analysts are particularly focused this year on potential changes to income tax thresholds, National Insurance contributions, corporation tax, and duties on goods and services. With cost-of-living pressures weighing on households and businesses facing higher operating costs, even modest adjustments could have widespread impacts.

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